1. Data, needs, insight
Consumer insight·A counter-intuitive causal explanation of behavior that leads to action. 'Users want a faster horse' is a statement; 'they fear being late in front of peers' is an insight.
Think in three layers: data (what happened), cause (why it happened), insight (what we should do). Most research stops at layer one while decisions need layer three.
2. Choosing research methods
| Method | Answers | Trap |
|---|---|---|
| Survey / big data | What and how many | Shows behavior, hides motive |
| Interview / observation | Why and how they think | Polite answers distort truth |
| Behavioral data / experiments | What happens if we change X | Correlation is not causation |
| Concept test / MVP | Will they want it | Novelty inflates interest |
3. Four steps to a usable insight
Frame the situation
Narrow to one concrete moment: who, under what circumstances, trying to get what done.
Find the contradiction
Look at the gap between what people say and what they do. Opportunity lives in that gap.
Write a hypothesis
One testable sentence: we believe who, because of what, will do what. Unwritten insights do not count.
Validate cheaply
Test with landing pages, samples or A/B runs before tooling. One round of testing costs far less than one wrong mold.
4. What AI changes
- 1Signals from reviews, search queries and support logs can be clustered automatically; research moves from samples to full populations.
- 2AI drafts personas and interview guides, but judgment stays human. It amplifies majority voices while opportunity hides in minority complaints.
- 3Validation cycles shrink to days: cheap creative plus small budgets reveal whether a concept has pull.